Monday, June 10, 2013

[vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer's LV Advisor Column - 4 JUN 2013

Wow. Is there really a 4 percent chance of losing half a RF after only 2000 hands of 9/6 jacks? Your percentages add up to 103 but I assume that's because of rounding.


--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "dunbar_dra" <h_dunbar@...> wrote:
>
> I'm not sure what the original scenario was, but here is the distribution of outcomes after playing 2000 hands of $5 9/6 JOB when starting with a $10K bankroll:
>
> FINAL BANK % CHANGE PROBABILITY
> 0 lose 100% 4%
> 1 - 1999 lose 80% to 99% 0%
> 2000 - 3999 lose 60% to 80% 1%
> 4000 - 5999 lose 40% to 60% 8%
> 6000 - 7999 lose 20% to 40% 26%
> 8000 - 9999 lose up to 20% 33%
> 10000 - 11999 win up to 20% 19%
> 12000 - 13999 win 20% to 40% 6%
> 14000 - 15999 win 40% to 60% 1%
> 16000 - 17999 win 60% to 80% 0%
> 18000 - 19999 win 80% to 99+% 0%
> 20000 + double or more 5%




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