[vpFREE] Re: you have to wonder about how random machines are....

It is hard to say anything firm about the consequences of a short run of trials at a "random" experiment. Theoretical analysis yields statements valid in the long run, and has little to say about the short run. And any slot machine player in a casino is certainly playing in the short run compared to the house itself.

My understanding is that the house is not interested in whether a specific player wins or loses. The house is interested in the long term statistics, per unit floor footprint, per unit time, per unit of action. The aggregate statistical take for the house, over a year of action at a bank of slot machines, is fairly tight to the point of being predictable.

For this reason, I don't know that biasing the RNG in a slot machine is worth the chance of getting caught at it. Maybe I underestimate greed.

I wouldn't worry about a casino dorking around with machine payoffs, mainly because I have no way of knowing if they do that, and because I don't see that that is in their best interest.

But that is just my impression. It may be wrong, but I can only trust that it isn't.

Anecdotally, I can say the same that anyone else who frequents slot machines can say: My favorite game is FPDW. I have had two royals occur within a half hour, and I have had weeks and weeks without one. I have had several 4-deuces pile up several thousand credits on the machine, and have gone for long tedious stretches without a single one.

Neither the upsides or downsides are of any statistical significance. For in the short run, anything can happen, and does.

- - Norma Posy

--- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, misscraps@... wrote:
>
> Sometimes you just have to wonder. I've played at the Palms for 8 years,
> often playing the 3/5 play NSU machines either playing NSU or DDB. Up until
> recently, I primarily played 5 play, and NEVER got dealt deuces while
> playing NSU - and I sometimes played a LOT for 4 hrs at a shot. Strangely
> though, recently I've been playing on just the same "lucky" machine each time,
> instead of randomly playing different ones in the several banks - playing 3
> play instead (since I lost a lot of money last year, I have been cutting
> down). About 3 weeks ago I hit dealt deuces just after coming out of the
> Brenden movie. This week I played the same machine just before going into
> see a Brenden movie - and bingo - dealt deuces again. Odd....
> ----------------
>
> By the way a Vegas friend of mine has stage 4 cancer and undergoing chemo.
> She is selling B5 pins to raise money, since she is barely making it
> financially. If anyone is interested, or would just like to donate a dollar or
> two to help, she has a website _http://jumpgatepins.com_
> (http://jumpgatepins.com) - she is very courageous and worthy, so if you know any SF fans
> of this show, please pass this info on.
> ---------------------------
>
>
> [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>

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