Re: [vpFREE] Bob Dancer's CasinoGaming Column - 29 JUN 2010

Cogno,

Your disrespectful response indicates that you have nothing worthwhile to
add to the discussion.

I think Jason made good points. I would like to read yours, when you are
done with your pig.

Luke

On 7/6/10, Cogno Scienti <cognoscienti@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> I'd like to continue the argument but I'm all tied up teaching a pig to
> sing.
>
> Cogno
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com [mailto:vpFREE@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf
> > Of fordscks
> > Sent: Tuesday, July 6, 2010 1:31 PM
> > To: vpFREE@yahoogroups.com
> > Subject: [vpFREE] Re: Bob Dancer's CasinoGaming Column - 29 JUN 2010
> >
> > --- In vpFREE@yahoogroups.com, "Cogno Scienti" <cognoscienti@...>
> > wrote:
> > > You're mistaken in all three of your criticisms, and he explained why
> > in his article. I think it's cute that he realized he could make an
> > extra dollar of EV in thirty seconds. Bob's all about hourly rate.
> > >
> > > Cogno
> >
> > Sorry, I am not mistaken. Suppose on that day, there were two people
> > independently doing the same strategy. Since there are two of them,
> > one will be disappointed and the sore loser goes and writes a column on
> > some bogus "a priori" vs "a posteriori" argument. The odds of hitting
> > quad aces is IRRELEVANT given another player is already sitting on quad
> > aces. It just happens the other player saw Bob being dealt quad aces
> > and the other player immediately panicks and hits his button first to
> > deny Bob the jackpot.
> >
> > If you use sound logic, you will realize a lot of Bob's arguments are
> > specious. First, counting meter movements as part of EV (note he
> > didn't get the extra "$84" so logic dictates Bob OVERESTIMATED his EV -
> > - this is fact based on the article. Second, Bob makes certain
> > assumptions about randomness that is incorrect, i.e. someone sitting on
> > quad aces argument as stated earlier. There are so many other errors
> > in his argument regarding hourly rate.

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

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