Wednesday, December 23, 2009

[vpFREE] Re: Dream Card variance PSA

nightoftheiguana2000 wrote:
> Actually you can use the wizard's combined table and get the exact
> answer of 22.54446


Right (although I got a modestly different value than you: 22.79234 ... did you use the truncated W-O-O prob/return stats, or did you start with the precise Comb #'s?

Irrespective, message is the same. Generally speaking, from a bankroll perspective I'd much prefer to play $.50 9/6 Jacks multiplay than the Dream Card $.25 variant, all other things being equal.

Not reflected in the value is the fact that (I suspect) the Dream Card has a co-variance intensifying effect somewhat comparable to a Joker, ensuring multiplay has a much wilder ride than the base variance of 22 would suggest.

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